Curious to learn more about the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle and its phases La Niña and El Niño? The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a naturally occurring cycle in the climate system describing the shift in ocean temperatures along the equator in the Pacific Ocean that leads to changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation patterns. There are 2 active phases of this cycle: La Niña and El Niño. During El Niño, waters in the central or eastern tropical Pacific Ocean are warm
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The latest outlook on El Niño—the warm phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (aka “ENSO”) climate pattern—gives a greater than 95% chance that it will continue through the winter. At this event's peak this winter, there is approximately a 2 in 3 chance that the Oceanic Niño Index will match or exceed 1.5 °C, the informal threshold for a “strong” El Niño event. Learn more about the forecast and what El Niño could mean for global temperatures at the ENSO Blog. https://www.climate.gov/news-feat
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