Iran demands war reparations from the US and Israel, lowering odds for uranium surrender by April 30 to 45.4% YES.

Iran threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire tensions. Ceasefire breach announcement by April 21 at 9% YES.

XRP's SuperTrend indicator turns bullish for the first time since January. XRP above $1.80 on April 19 at 0.3% YES.

Bitcoin surged above $76,000 as Iran opened the Strait of Hormuz. Bitcoin below $60,000 by April 14 at 0% YES.

Iran has not agreed to a new round of negotiations with the US, according to IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News. The ceasefire by ...

US envoy Barrack advocates for prosperity over military action against Hezbollah. Suspension of Israel's Lebanon offensive by ...

Zelensky warned that Russia might try to draw Belarus directly into the Ukraine conflict. The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by ...

Trump cites China's positive view on Hormuz reopening, raising Iran peace deal odds to 29.5% YES by April 22, 2026.

Trump claims Iran agreed to uranium concessions, but Iran denies it. Ending enrichment by April 30 at 40.7% YES.

President Trump announced that Iran has agreed to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile without deploying U.S. ground forces. The odds for Iran surrendering by April 30 sit at 45.0% YES, up from 25 ...

A Ynet News report on the regime’s power consolidation has pushed odds for regime change further out across multiple ...

Trump criticized NATO as "absolutely useless" for not engaging in the Iran conflict. US withdrawal from NATO by April 30 at 1 ...