Nvidia's stock rises 18% amid strong AI demand, boosting market confidence with odds for it becoming the largest company by June 30 at 89.5% YES.

Lebanon has denied any knowledge of planned talks with Israel amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war. The Israel x Lebanon ...

Israeli demolitions in southern Lebanon, revealed by satellite images, signal ongoing escalation with Hezbollah. The odds of ...

Bitcoin’s rally is stalling near $75,000, with onchain data pointing to a pause rather than a reversal. The odds for Bitcoin ...

Iran’s move to impose tolls on the Strait of Hormuz has pushed odds for UK warship transit by April 30, 2026, to 10% YES on ...

Poland’s Finance Minister Andrzej Domański called on the EU to release a €90 billion loan to Ukraine following Viktor Orbán’s ...

US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad with Pakistan as mediator have moved forward, pushing a permanent peace deal by April 22 to ...

TSMC is cautious about supply chain risks due to Middle East tensions. Ceasefire extension by April 21 at 70.5% YES.

Pentagon accused of misleading Trump on US-Iran conflict. Ceasefire breach by April 21 at 11.5% YES, blockade lifted by May ...

Oil prices soared to $210 in Singapore due to the US-Israel-Iran conflict. WTI crude oil at $160 by April 30 sits at 25% YES.

BlackRock buys $505M in Bitcoin amid US-Iran conflict. Bitcoin at $100K by December 31, 2026 priced at 38% YES.

US sanctions target Iran's oil sector as a 140M barrel waiver expires. Trump agreeing to sanction relief in April at 36.5% ...