Experts Warn That Recession Risks Are Increasing. Here's What That Means for Investors

Economists warn that the longer the war in Iran continues, the greater the risk of a recession. A long-term outlook is more ...

Recession Probability Sits At 40% To 50%—Here Is How To Size That Risk

Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves ...
The Motley Fool

Kalshi Now Places the Odds of a Recession in 2026 at 28%. 2 ETFs to Buy to Hedge Your Downside.

Since the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022, there have been growing concerns that the economy would eventually tip into a recession. Investors can't time the market, but they can ...
AOL

A Walmart-related recession indicator is at its highest since the 2008 financial crisis. Here's what it means for the U.S. economy

One of America’s biggest retailers is flashing a big recession indicator. A market indicator known as the Walmart Recession Signal (WRS) has surged to levels last seen during the 2008 Financial Crisis ...
Northwest Arkansas Democrat Gazette

OPINION | EDITORIAL: Attention Walmart shoppers

Nobel laureate Paul Samuelson once said the stock market has forecast nine of the last five recessions. He probably meant not to take warning signs from the stock market too seriously on recession ...
New York Post

Iran’s parliament approves plan to impose toll on ships sailing through Strait of Hormuz — and it’s already charging up to $2 million

Iran’s parliament has approved a bill to charge a toll on all ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz — and it’s already demanding payments of up to $2 million per vessel, putting at least 20% of ...
New York Post

Gold has its worst month since 2008 recession — why the Iran war is hitting metals

Gold is on track for its worst monthly decline since 2008 as a historic energy supply shock amid the Iran war spooks investors who were hoping for interest-rate cuts. Spot prices are poised for a drop ...
AOL

A Wall Street vet’s Walmart recession indicator just hit its highest point since 2008—and he says the fear ‘just keeps multiplying’

Forget the Fed. Forget nonfarm employment. Forget even industrial production and real income. For Jim Paulsen, the real recession indicator is watching Walmart. Paulsen, former chief investment ...
The New York Times

Las Vegas Is Still a March Madness Mecca

The influx of fans during this month’s college basketball tournament is a welcome lift to the city’s casinos and hotels after a dismal 2025, when the number of visitors fell 7.5 percent. By Ken Belson ...
Business Insider

A Walmart-related recession indicator that's preceded the last 4 economic downturns is flashing red

One economic indicator suggests pain is coming for the US: the Walmart Recession Signal. The measure looks at Walmart's stock price relative to a basket of luxury stocks. A sharp increase in the WRS ...
federalnewsnetwork.com

Treasury prepares RIF for office created to avoid financial crisis, IRS IT resumes hiring after mass reassignments

The IRS tech shop is back in hiring mode, after losing more than 40% of its workforce under the Trump administration. At an IRS IT all-hands meeting earlier this month, Chief Information Officer ...
Seeking Alpha

3 Second Quarter Market Predictions

It has been an eventful start to 2026 as the first quarter draws to a close on Tuesday, to understate things. A new war has broken out in the Middle East. Oil, natural gas, diesel, and other commodity ...