Starmer was unaware of Mandelson's vetting failure before his ambassador role, with exit by December 31, 2026 now at 65.5% ...

Israeli agencies dismantled an Iranian terror network targeting Western sites. Iran striking Israel by April 30 at 100% YES.

Bitcoin price expectations rise after Iran ceasefire and softer US CPI data. Bitcoin between $72,000-$74,000 on April 15 at ...

Qatar faces economic strain from the Iran war despite a ceasefire. Military action against Iran ending by April 30 at 100% ...

US seized an Iranian ship near the Strait of Hormuz, causing traffic normalization odds to drop to 25% YES by June.

Tehran vows retaliation after the US seizes an Iran-flagged tanker. Lifting the US blockade by May 31 now at 79.5% YES.

Iran launched 2,800 missiles and drones in 40 days, with military action against Israel by April 30 at 100% YES.

Pakistan Army Chief Munir told Trump that the U.S. blockade of Iran hinders negotiations. Blockade lifted by May 31 at 78.5% ...

Iran has reimposed the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, causing shipping traffic to plummet. Fewer than 10 ships transiting ...

The Strait of Hormuz closed again, raising uncertainty in peace talks. WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April at 1.4% YES.

A trader shifted from a Solana short to a long oil position amid US-Iran tensions. WTI crude hitting $160 in April at X% YES.

Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, heightening tensions with the US. Bitcoin reaching $84K by April 18 at 0.1% YES.