Nvidia's stock rises 18% amid strong AI demand, boosting market confidence with odds for it becoming the largest company by June 30 at 89.5% YES.

Lebanon has denied any knowledge of planned talks with Israel amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war. The Israel x Lebanon ...

Bitcoin’s rally is stalling near $75,000, with onchain data pointing to a pause rather than a reversal. The odds for Bitcoin ...

Israeli demolitions in southern Lebanon, revealed by satellite images, signal ongoing escalation with Hezbollah. The odds of ...

TSMC is cautious about supply chain risks due to Middle East tensions. Ceasefire extension by April 21 at 70.5% YES.

US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad with Pakistan as mediator have moved forward, pushing a permanent peace deal by April 22 to ...

Poland’s Finance Minister Andrzej Domański called on the EU to release a €90 billion loan to Ukraine following Viktor Orbán’s ...

Pentagon accused of misleading Trump on US-Iran conflict. Ceasefire breach by April 21 at 11.5% YES, blockade lifted by May ...

US sanctions target Iran's oil sector as a 140M barrel waiver expires. Trump agreeing to sanction relief in April at 36.5% ...

Bitcoin ETFs saw a $186M inflow, driven by BlackRock's $292M investment. Bitcoin price between $78K and $80K by April 15 at ...

Tech stocks drove the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to record highs while Bitcoin hit $75K. S&P 500 closing up on April 15 at 99.9% YES.

Japan has committed $10 billion to help Asian countries manage the ongoing oil crisis linked to the Iran war. The odds of the ...