Bitcoin’s rally is stalling near $75,000, with onchain data pointing to a pause rather than a reversal. The odds for Bitcoin ...

Nvidia's stock rises 18% amid strong AI demand, boosting market confidence with odds for it becoming the largest company by June 30 at 89.5% YES.

Lebanon has denied any knowledge of planned talks with Israel amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war. The Israel x Lebanon ...

Israeli demolitions in southern Lebanon, revealed by satellite images, signal ongoing escalation with Hezbollah. The odds of ...

Poland’s Finance Minister Andrzej Domański called on the EU to release a €90 billion loan to Ukraine following Viktor Orbán’s ...

Pentagon accused of misleading Trump on US-Iran conflict. Ceasefire breach by April 21 at 11.5% YES, blockade lifted by May ...

TSMC is cautious about supply chain risks due to Middle East tensions. Ceasefire extension by April 21 at 70.5% YES.

US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad with Pakistan as mediator have moved forward, pushing a permanent peace deal by April 22 to ...

Iran’s move to impose tolls on the Strait of Hormuz has pushed odds for UK warship transit by April 30, 2026, to 10% YES on ...