Polymarket bettors have wagered $1.3 million on a US recession by end of 2026, with odds at 30%. JPMorgan puts the ...
The 2008 financial crisis upended lives overnight; jobs disappeared, savings shrank, and uncertainty became the norm. But ...
Multiple reports reveal that increasing tensions in the Middle East could spell trouble for the economy.
Goldman Sachs puts U.S. recession odds at 25% and JPMorgan at 35%, driven by oil spiking from $70 to $98 after the Iran conflict, February payrolls losing 92,000 jobs, and inflation stuck above 3%.
Gold is on track for its worst monthly decline since 2008 as a historic energy supply shock amid the Iran war spooks investors who were hoping for interest-rate cuts. Spot prices are poised for a drop ...
Forget the Fed. Forget nonfarm employment. Forget even industrial production and real income. For Jim Paulsen, the real recession indicator is watching Walmart. Paulsen, former chief investment ...
Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves ...
Nobel laureate Paul Samuelson once said the stock market has forecast nine of the last five recessions. He probably meant not to take warning signs from the stock market too seriously on recession ...
Since the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022, there have been growing concerns that the economy would eventually tip into a recession. Investors can't time the market, but they can ...
The war in the Middle East swiftly led to the cancellation of thousands of flights across the Persian Gulf. The crisis in the industry is severe, but aviation is no stranger to existential shocks.
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