No, I’m not sure why the NFL is starting its season on a Wednesday. But I won’t complain because it should be a hell of a lot more fun than watching the Republican midterm convention. The NFL is back ...

But mostly, they were extremely persistent, a word used multiple times in OpenAI’s own account of the incident. Like the ...

Among Americans overall, 63 percent say there’s at least a “moderate risk” of AI destroying humanity, versus just 22 percent ...

The first official episode of Still Counting is out! Clare, Galen, and I discussed the most competitive Senate races, the GOP’s first-ever midterm convention, Trump’s standing within the Republican ...

Back at the OG version of FiveThirtyEight.com in 2008, we ran a daily feature called “Today’s Polls”. It was pretty simple: basically a table of every poll that had entered our database in the past 24 ...

We’re approaching Labor Day — which has traditionally been considered the “real” starting point of midterm election campaigns. You’ll often hear a narrative that goes something like this: voters only ...

I teased this last week, but I wanted to officially share the good news that I’m starting a podcast with my former FiveThirtyEight colleagues Galen Druke and Clare Malone. The podcast, Still Counting, ...

We’ve updated ELWAY and QBERT with Week 1 results. While individual game performance can be noisy, ELWAY tends to take early-season results seriously. NFL team rankings shift a lot year to year, and ...

If nobody released another national poll between now and the election, I wouldn’t care one bit. Seriously. National polls have shown Donald Trump gaining ground lately — Kamala Harris’s lead in our ...

We’re 39 days out from the election and people are starting to freak out about the polls — and unskew them using some less-than-rigorous methods. Could a bad poll for your favorite candidate just come ...