Superforecasting is a fun read with important advice for business leaders as well as us professional forecasters. The acclaimed book by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner describes a forecasting ...
The prime minister's chief adviser, Dominic Cummings, has told journalists to "read Philip Tetlock's Superforecasters, instead of political pundits who don't know what they're talking about". His ...
From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or ...
In 2010, Dan Gardner published Future Babble, a fascinating look at the often dodgy business of expert predictions. Much of the scientific core of the book was derived from the research of Philip ...
In a fiercely competitive world, active managers are constantly looking for ways to advance their performance edge. One good place to focus on is how to become better forecasters. If just looking at ...
In finance, a good forecast can mean the difference between bumper earnings and bankruptcy. The need for an accurate outlook is leading some firms to a novel and increasingly popular technique for ...
The United Kingdom is preparing to leave the European Union. Mainstream political parties are breaking down across the Continent. Separatist movements are on the rise. Is Europe careening toward a ...
The prime minister's chief adviser, Dominic Cummings, has told journalists to "read Philip Tetlock's Superforecasters, instead of political pundits who don't know what they're talking about". His ...
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